Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2050? | Manifold

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2050?

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bought Ṁ50 NO

No one has walked on the moon in over 50 years, which should imply a prior of 2/3 against anyone doing it in the next 25. Then the actual number should be lower because weadd a woman-specific clause.

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