Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2027?
Mini
8
αΉ3772028
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Succession_of_power_in_China
https://asiasociety.org/policy-institute/xi-jinpings-succession-dilemma
Elite rebellion is not impossible. Research conducted by Milan Svolik shows that two-thirds of deposed authoritarians fall to inside challengers. Yuhua Wang finds that almost 60% of Chinese emperors who did not exit office by natural death were murdered, deposed, forced to abdicate, or forced to commit suicide by regime elites. A conceivable trigger for Xi would be an economic depression or military misadventure, or if he began purging his closest allies.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
70% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?
74% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?
44% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2030?
67% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
60% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
22% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?
29% chance
Will Xi Jinping remain the President of China by the end of 2030?
62% chance
Will Xi stay on power by the end of 2030?
58% chance