What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Harris Elected
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Jan 20
I will "UPGRADE" this to a PLUS Market once I get more Mana (Unless a generous user upgrades it themselves before me).
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh killed in Iran, sparking fears of wider war - WAPO
Top U.S. general in the Middle East as U.S. and Israel prepare for possible Iran attack -AXIOS
Harris Picks Walz AS VP [image]
Blinken says Israel has agreed to US proposal to close remaining gaps on ceasefire deal and calls on Hamas to do the same -CNN
Protests In Chicago Near Democratic Convention - LIVE Breaking News Coverage DNC (https://www.youtube.com/embed/-8xFxvRav4Y)
Netanyahu is unequivocal about ceasefire and hostage agreement with Hamas: ‘There’s not a deal in the making’
It's unclear how Sinwar's apparent killing could impact hostage negotiations, officials say From CNN's Eugenia Yosef and Jeremy Diamond
Harris concedes to Trump
Israel said to agree in principle to Lebanon ceasefire offer, though some issues remain (Its Not Hamas, But Shows A Ceasefire May Be Possible)
White House believes Lebanon truce will put pressure on Hamas to negotiate for Gaza ceasefire, official says From CNN's Sam Fossum
Hamas and Israel ‘are talking seriously’ about a hostage-ceasefire deal in Gaza, source says
84%
Trump Re-elected
14%
Israel/Hamas Ceasefire
1.3%
Harris Elected
1%
Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Harris Elected
This market only resolves 1 answer
Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First
  • To Meet Re-Election:

    • Harris must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

    • Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

  • To Meet Bilateral Ceasefire:

    • Bi-lateral = Must Be Between Israel & Hamas or Russia & Ukraine

    • Lasting = Minimum 10 Calendar Days

    • Ceasefire = A call to terminate all hostilities

    • Signed = Must Be An Agreement Signed By Leader(s) Of Minimum 1 Leader From Israel and 1 Leader From Hamas, May Include Negotiated Terms Between The Parties Through Third Party Nations And/Or Special Councils/Government Agencies.

    MARKET EXTENDS UNTIL CONDITIONS MET

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  • If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.

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reposted

How is this not resolved yet? Was Trump not re-elected.

@JohnLynch the description says he must be inaugurated to resolve

To Meet Re-Election:

Harris must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

@DistinctlySkeptical you may wanna extend this a bit

reposted

Protests In Chicago Near Democratic Convention - LIVE Breaking News Coverage DNC


reposted

Harris Picks Walz As VP

I am considering Upgrading this to PREMIUM but don't have the Mana available yet ; would be cool to be a prize market @Joshua @SG

TV gif. From WandaVision: Agnes Harkness (Kathryn Hahn) gives us an exaggerated wink and tilts her head with a smile.

reposted

Upgraded to PLUS

reposted

Fixed the title. Thanks and apologies for the error.

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