Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
Mini
16
Ṁ1384Jan 20
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done — I’ll have that done in 24 hours. - Donald J. Trump
Resolution Criteria
End of War: Defined as a mutually agreed ceasefire or peace agreement signed by Ukraine and Russia.
Timeline: The agreement must be signed within 24 hours of Trump’s inauguration.
Verification: Confirmation from recognized news sources or statements from official government sources in Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S.
Sister market
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@GazDownright it wasn't my market, I just comment with arbitrage opportunities whenever I see a big difference with prices. At the moment nothing seems crazy to me, but here's the market:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump End the Ukraine War Within 90 days of Taking Office? [see description]
24% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
73% chance
Will Russia end it’s war with Ukraine before the next US presidential inauguration?
2% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
11% chance
Will Trump End the Israel-Hamas War Within 100 days of Taking Office? [Polymarket]
54% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
29% chance
Trump will end the Russia/Ukraine war in 24 hours
3% chance
Will Trump solve the Russia-Ukraine war within a day of his election?
4% chance
How much territory will Ukraine's new offensive capture before Trump’s inauguration?
Will Trump talk to both Putin and Zelensky within a day of his election?
11% chance