1. Question resolves to YES if before April 9th, 2025, President Trump or an authorized White House official makes an official announcement stating that the implementation of any portion of the recently announced tariff system will be paused, delayed, or suspended.
2. Question resolves to NO if no such announcement is made by the end of the day on April 9th, 2025.
3. A pause for specific countries, products, or timeframes resolved to YES
4. General statements about being open to negotiations or making deals do not count unless they specifically mention delaying or pausing implementation.
5. The announcement must come through official channels such as White House statements, press conferences, or official social media accounts.
6. If tariffs are permanently canceled rather than paused, this counts as YES.
7. Leaks or unofficial reports do not count, only official announcements.
Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Timing Clarification:
The market will resolve at the end of the day, April 9th.
This means that any official announcement made on or before the close of April 9th will be considered for a YES outcome.
1,000
1.00@PoliticalEconomyPK could’ve done better too - literally had zero mana as the tweet came in
resolves YES if before April 9th […]
and:
resolves to NO if no such announcement is made by the end of the day on April 9th
this is confusing, is april 9th included?
@Jakeqhsf Probably would have been better to clarify this at the beginning rather than at the eleventh hour.
@BlackCrusade You're right, I should have just written the resolution criteria better to begin with instead of winging it at 11:30 before going to bed. My fault. If anyone feels cheated, I will compensate you.
"1. Question resolves to YES if before April 9th, 2025, President Trump or an authorized White House official makes an official announcement stating that the implementation of any portion of the recently announced tariff system will be paused, delayed, or suspended."
This should have without question resolved to No.
@BlackCrusade Well, unfortunately it's too late to fix now. I apologize for the confusion. Please let me know what you spent on the question so I can reimburse you.