Trump approval rating 43.1% or higher on November 1st? | Manifold

Trump approval rating 43.1% or higher on November 1st?

198

Ṁ110k

Nov 1

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Market will resolve to YES if 43.1% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated November 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Notes:

Previous market closed at approval rating of 43.1%.
Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 43.1% at some point, but rises back above by November 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Trump's Second Term

#Republican Party

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opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 76% order

Home stretch with big orders up!

Why is it not 50/50

@121 the market or the approval rating?

@traders Anyone want to get spicy with just over a week to go? One order is up, perhaps more tomorrow!

Can someone explain why his approval rating is way higher than his first-term ratings?

@ItsMe lead poisoning

@ItsMe Here’s why Trump is in a ‘much better spot’ during second term: CNN analyst

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 33% order

10k NO up at 33%

@dgga Want to wager?

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 71% order

@dgga Big order up at 71%

@Panfilo I'm gonna look into it later today (no idea what polls are due this month). Might take it.

the shutdown

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