New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
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Plus
33
Ṁ23k
Jan 1
0.1%
No successful launch
0.2%
Successful launch
99.3%
Successful landing
0.4%
Reflight of a booster

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

(Rewritten slightly)

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions

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They've just landed the booster on flight 2. Congrats to Blue Origin, it's clearly no trivial task!

No succesful launch resolves NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen It's dependent multiple choice, options can't resolve separately.

@Multicore i'm a noob, lol

Successful launch! But no landing yet. We'll see if they get one later this year.

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