Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2034.
Questions with the same criteria:
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7ddfe58feb89
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor
/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc (this question)
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-5d430e6e7829
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-99db0a1a6f37
Numeric market:
/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
Other questions for 2034:
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2034
/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034
/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ba1e9ced21b7
/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-10cdf89aac16
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca
/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-046bbe924d16
/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-b852297a6f2a
Other reference points for cure for cancer:
/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-we
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-939ead04dfb1
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c
The cohorts considered in these studies must be statistically representative of that country's population.
1,000
1.00@RemNi Is there a reason that you made this as a bunch of individual questions instead of one unlinked multiple choice question? That would've been a way better interface for betting on multiple years. (For example, I just bet down all of the options from 2030 to 2034, and to do that I had to open a new tab for each.)