Resolves as YES if we get a cure for cancer before we get fusion reactors.
Numeric markets:
/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
Cure for cancer markets:
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7ddfe58feb89
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor
/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-5d430e6e7829
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-99db0a1a6f37
Fusion reactor markets;
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13
Other reference points for cure for cancer:
/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-we
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-939ead04dfb1
Other reference points for fusion reactors:
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3
In the context of this question, the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as:
'''
This threshold is met if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
In order for this threshold to be met for a given year, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to the year in question.
"""
The threshold for "we get fusion reactors" is defined as:
"""
We have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to the specified date at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
"""
1,000
1.00@AndrewHartman the criteria for this question relies on cancer diagnosis at the level of the individual and does not focus on different cancer types.
