Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031?
➕
Plus
45
Ṁ4327
2031
16%
chance

Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.

In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2031.

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7ddfe58feb89

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor

/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-5d430e6e7829

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-99db0a1a6f37

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc

Other questions for 2031:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2031

/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-fa1926d83aec

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem

/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b

/RemNi/discovery-of-matter-outside-of-our

/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be

/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031

Other reference points for cure for cancer:

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-we

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-939ead04dfb1

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c



The cohorts considered in these studies must be statistically representative of that country's population.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

I think we'll have cured a lot more cancers than currently but we certainly won't have cured all known ones yet