Edit: YES = positive; NO = negative
Once Trump has made his "very big announcement" later this week or early next I'll start a poll to gauge sentiment about the announcement. There will only be two options: feeling more positive or more negative about the announcement. The poll will stay open for two days.
This market will close Wednesday night to ensure it closes before the mystery announcement which was said to happen Thursday, Friday or Monday.
Mystery announcement for context: https://nitter.net/america/status/1919811307781423338#m
Edit: if the poll is a tie, this market resolves N/A. If there no announcement by May 20th, I won't create a poll and this resolves N/A as well.
Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The poll to gauge sentiment for this market will be opened after a separate market (which identifies what Trump's announcement was) has closed and picked an announcement.
This market will resolve N/A if that separate market resolves to "no announcement".
1,000
1.00@FergusArgyll interesting. My mind immediately jumps to stuff like Mar-a-Gaza, handing Ukraine to Russia or bullying our allies.
@AlexanderTheGreater If it's one of those, then I definitely lose my manna π
I don't think any of those, however, qualify under "one of the most important announcements that have been made in many years about a certain subject"
Ukraine/Russia definitely doesn't have the weight of "many years".
I think it'll be either Iran related (Nuke deal, or coalition / sanctions against them) or Abraham Accords related. I think both of those would poll decently
@FergusArgyll Abraham Accords would be a good one. While my own top priority is a defeat and utter humiliation of Putin and his Russia, I think you are right that Trump wouldn't see Ukraine news as big.
@AlexanderTheGreater On the other hand...
Wouldn't he want to make those announcements in the middle east?!