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Manifold Politics
Premium
Will Trump win the 2024 Election?
YES
981
á¹€11k
Kevin Burke
Plus
Donald Trump Sr and Laura Loomer are in a sexual relationship? Credible evidence before March 31, 2025
1%
chance
348
á¹€1k
Martin Randall
Premium
When will Trump serve time?
91%
Never
Yes
No
Open options
0%
2023 (NO)
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
2024
Yes
No
Open options
0.5%
2025
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
2527
á¹€21k
Gordan Knott
Plus
Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential election for any reason before Nov 5th ?
NO
146
á¹€1k
Jes Wolfe
Premium
Will JD Vance be removed from the Trump ticket before the election?
NO
432
á¹€10k
DismalScientist
Plus
What were the motives of the first Trump shooter? [An option resolves YES if it was a contributing factor]
Resolved
N/A
Protect Democracy
Open options
Resolved
N/A
Combat Climate change
Open options
Resolved
N/A
Combating racism
Open options
Resolved
N/A
Socialism/communism
Open options
See 36 more answers
287
á¹€4k
Joshua
Plus
Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer?
90%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
90
á¹€1k
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