Korea Martial Law

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Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached before January 3rd 2025?17% chance

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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be arrested before 2026?82% chance

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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on January 1, 2025?82% chance

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How will South Korea be classified in the next edition of The Economist's Democracy Index?

63%

Full democracy

36%

Flawed democracy

0.2%

Hybrid regime

0.2%

Authoritarian regime

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Will martial law in South Korea hold past the end of the week?NO

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Will South Korea be under martial law on January 1st 2025?3% chance

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Will a member of South Korea's parliament be arrested before martial law is lifted?NO

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Will South Korea Be Under Martial Law in one month?NO

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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 3, 2025?4% chance

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Martial law in South Korea lifted by December 10th, 2024?YES

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